Freddie Mac Forecast: Lots of "Ifs" and "Buts"

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Posted To: MND NewsWire

Freddie Mac’s economists say, “The broader economic environment remains favorable for home sales,” but they add a lot of caveats to that statement . Sales are holding up so far, despite the increase in mortgage rates, but will that continue? Sales started recovering in 2010, with the aggregate of new and existing sales growing annually except for 2014; largely because rates rose that year. Rates are not necessarily the only driver, however, from 2016 to 2017 home sales rose along with rates. Of course, sales depend on the interaction between demand- and supply-side factors. Demand factors include demographics, labor market outcomes, and financing conditions including rates and the availability of credit. Among supply factors are the construction of new homes, vacancy rates, and the inventory…(read more)

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