Today was the calmest of the past 3 days of craziness, although the higher-than-average volume suggests things are still happening behind the scenes. Specifically, that volume can be largely attributed to traders cashing in previous bets on higher rates. This is accomplished by buying bonds (to close out a bond transaction that was previously “sold short”). In other words, there was less selling and/or more buying today compared to other days because many of the sellers were cleaning up their positions.
The net effect wasn’t very beneficial as yields still managed to end the day at new cycle highs (3.115%). MBS did slightly better and managed to end the day unchanged.
Economic data looked like it might have been interesting at first with Philly Fed coming in much higher than expected. But a few minutes after the data, an improvement in bond yields suggested the aforementioned short-covering was doing more to motivate trade.
MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
100-30 : +0-00
3.1149 : +0.0199
|Pricing as of 5/17/18 5:39PMEST|
Today’s Reprice Alerts and Updates
9:08AM : Bonds Stronger After Econ Data, But Not Because Of It
MBS Live Chat Highlights
Ted Rood : “How bogus is it that lenders can have websites like FHA.com?”
Michael Gillani : “My response, “well, 3.75% is readily available as well if you like that better. It’s just not as cost effective right now.””