Validea’s Top Five Consumer Cyclical Stocks Based On Peter Lynch – 1/28/2018

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The following are the top rated Consumer Cyclical stocks according to Validea’s P/E/Growth Investor model based on the published strategy of Peter Lynch . This strategy looks for stocks trading at a reasonable price relative to earnings growth that also possess strong balance sheets.

AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS CORP ( AOBC ) is a small-cap value stock in the Recreational Products industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Peter Lynch is 93% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: American Outdoor Brands Corporation, formerly Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation, is a manufacturer of firearms and a provider of accessory products for the shooting, hunting and outdoor enthusiast. The Company operates through two segments. The Firearms segment manufactures handgun and long gun products sold under the Smith & Wesson, M&P and Thompson/Center Arms brands, as well as providing forging, machining and precision plastic injection molding services. The Outdoor Products & Accessories segment provides shooting, hunting and outdoor accessories, including reloading, gunsmithing, gun cleaning supplies, tree saws, vault accessories, knives, laser sighting systems and tactical lighting products. Brands in Outdoor Products & Accessories include Crimson Trace, Caldwell Shooting Supplies, Wheeler Engineering, Lockdown Vault Accessories, BOG POD and Golden Rod Moisture Control, as well as knives and specialty tools under Schrade, Old Timer, Uncle Henry and Imperial.

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

P/E/GROWTH RATIO: PASS
SALES AND P/E RATIO: NEUTRAL
INVENTORY TO SALES: PASS
EPS GROWTH RATE: PASS
TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: PASS
FREE CASH FLOW: NEUTRAL
NET CASH POSITION: NEUTRAL

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

HOOKER FURNITURE CORPORATION ( HOFT ) is a small-cap value stock in the Furniture & Fixtures industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Peter Lynch is 93% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: Hooker Furniture Corporation is a home furnishings marketing, design and logistics company offering sourcing of residential casegoods and upholstery, as well as domestically-produced leather and fabric-upholstered furniture. The Company operates through three segments: casegoods furniture, upholstered furniture and all other. The Company’s casegoods product categories include accents, home office, dining, bedroom and home entertainment furniture under the Hooker Furniture brand. Its residential upholstered seating companies include Bradington-Young, which is engaged in upscale motion and stationary leather furniture, and Sam Moore Furniture, which is engaged in upscale occasional chairs, settees, sofas and sectional seating with a focus on cover-to-frame customization. It also markets a line of imported leather upholstery under the Hooker Upholstery trade name. All other segment operates under the H Contract and Homeware brands.

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

P/E/GROWTH RATIO: PASS
SALES AND P/E RATIO: NEUTRAL
INVENTORY TO SALES: PASS
EPS GROWTH RATE: PASS
TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: PASS
FREE CASH FLOW: NEUTRAL
NET CASH POSITION: NEUTRAL

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA, INC. ( MPAA ) is a small-cap growth stock in the Auto & Truck Parts industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Peter Lynch is 93% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. is a manufacturer, remanufacturer and distributor of automotive aftermarket parts, including alternators, starters, wheel hub assembly, brake master cylinders, brake power boosters and turbochargers utilized in imported and domestic passenger vehicles, light trucks and heavy-duty applications. The Company sells its products in North America to auto parts retail and traditional warehouse chains and to automobile manufacturers for both their aftermarket programs and their warranty replacement programs (OES). It recycles materials, including metal from the used cores and corrugated packaging. The Company carries over 13,000 stock keeping units (SKUs) for automotive parts that are sold under its customers’ recognized private label brand names and its Quality-Built, Pure Energy, Xtreme, Reliance and other brand names. It sells its products to automotive retail outlets and the professional repair market throughout the United States and Canada.

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

P/E/GROWTH RATIO: PASS
SALES AND P/E RATIO: NEUTRAL
INVENTORY TO SALES: PASS
EPS GROWTH RATE: PASS
TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: PASS
FREE CASH FLOW: NEUTRAL
NET CASH POSITION: NEUTRAL

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

NAUTILUS, INC. ( NLS ) is a small-cap value stock in the Recreational Products industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Peter Lynch is 93% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: Nautilus, Inc. is a consumer fitness products company. The Company operates through two segments: Direct and Retail. Its principal business activities include designing, developing, sourcing and marketing of cardio and strength fitness products and related accessories for consumer use, primarily in the United States and Canada, but also in international markets outside North America. The Direct business offers products directly to consumers through television advertising, catalogs and the Internet. In its Direct business, the Company markets and sells its products, principally Bowflex cardio and strength products, directly to consumers. The Retail business offers its products through a network of independent retail companies and specialty retailers with stores and Websites located in the United States and internationally. In its Retail business, the Company markets and sells a line of consumer fitness equipment under the Nautilus, Octane Fitness, Schwinn, Universal and Bowflex brands.

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

P/E/GROWTH RATIO: PASS
SALES AND P/E RATIO: NEUTRAL
INVENTORY TO SALES: PASS
EPS GROWTH RATE: PASS
TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: PASS
FREE CASH FLOW: NEUTRAL
NET CASH POSITION: NEUTRAL

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

STONERIDGE, INC. ( SRI ) is a small-cap value stock in the Auto & Truck Parts industry. The rating according to our strategy based on Peter Lynch is 93% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.

Company Description: Stoneridge, Inc. is a designer and manufacturer of engineered electrical and electronic components, modules and systems for the automotive, commercial, motorcycle, off-highway and agricultural vehicle markets. The Company operates through three segments: Control Devices, Electronics and PST. The Company’s Control Devices segment designs and manufactures products that monitor, measure or activate specific functions within a vehicle and includes product lines, such as sensors, switches, valves, and actuators. The Company’s Electronics segment designs and manufactures electronic instrument clusters, electronic control units and driver information systems. The PST segment is engaged in the design, manufacture and sale of in-vehicle audio and video devices, electronic vehicle security alarms, convenience accessories, vehicle tracking devices and monitoring services primarily for the automotive and motorcycle industry. It operated in 25 locations in 12 countries, as of December 31, 2016.

The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.

P/E/GROWTH RATIO: PASS
SALES AND P/E RATIO: NEUTRAL
INVENTORY TO SALES: PASS
EPS GROWTH RATE: PASS
TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY RATIO: PASS
FREE CASH FLOW: NEUTRAL
NET CASH POSITION: NEUTRAL

For a full detailed analysis using NASDAQ’s Guru Analysis tool, click here

Since its inception, Validea’s strategy based on Peter Lynch has returned 453.47% vs. 187.17% for the S&P 500. For more details on this strategy, click here

About Peter Lynch : Perhaps the greatest mutual fund manager of all-time, Lynch guided Fidelity Investment’s Magellan Fund to a 29.2 percent average annual return from 1977 until his retirement in 1990, almost doubling the S&P 500’s 15.8 percent yearly return over that time. Lynch’s common sense approach and quick wit made him one of the most quoted investors on Wall Street. (“Go for a business that any idiot can run — because sooner or later, any idiot probably is going to run it,” is one of his many pearls of wisdom.) Lynch’s bestseller One Up on Wall Street is something of a “stocks for the everyman/everywoman”, breaking his approach down into easy-to-understand concepts.

About Validea : Validea is an investment research service that follows the published strategies of investment legends. Validea offers both stock analysis and model portfolios based on gurus who have outperformed the market over the long-term, including Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch and Martin Zweig. For more information about Validea, click here


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.



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